‘Vital’ Australian defence review amid rising risk of ‘state-on-state’ conflict

Australia’s defence force will be reshaped under a “vital”, sweeping review to be announced by the Prime Minister and Defence Minister on Wednesday,

Anthony Albanese and Richard Marles will unveil details of the Defence Strategic Review, which will be led by former Labor defence minister Stephen Smith, and the former chief of defence force Sir Angus Houston.

The pair will be tasked with the most comprehensive reassessment of the ADF in 35 years, with the aim of making sure the force is “well positioned” to meet the security challenges of the next decade.

The review will make recommendations on the ADF’s “structure, posture and preparedness” for the 10 years from 2023 – with recommendations to be made on defence assets and where they are stationed.

While China is not mentioned by name in the terms of reference, the “risk of state-on-state conflict” has been named as a key factor impacting Australia’s strategic circumstances.

Defence Minister Richard Marles said the 2020 defence strategic update had identified changes in Australia’s strategic environment were accelerating “more rapidly” than predicted in the 2012 force posture review.

“This necessitates an immediate analysis of where and how defence assets and personnel are best positioned to protect Australia and its national interests,” Mr Marles said.

“It also requires an assessment of defence’s force structure and integrated investment program.

“Exploring how our capabilities can better integrate and operate with the United States, the United Kingdom, and other key partners will also be an important element of the review.”

Professor Smith and Sir Angus have been asked to prepare the review by March 2023.

By that time, they will need to outline the investments required to support defence preparedness and mobilisation needs.

Mr Albanese said their work would ensure Australia had the best possible defence force capability ready to meet the security challenges over the next decade.

“Professor Smith and Sir Angus bring a unique blend of knowledge and experience to their role as independent leads.

“Their depth of expertise will be invaluable in informing the review.”